2023.06.30 2023.06.30
XAUUSD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 30.06.23 – 07.07.23Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/
Main scenario: consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1937.93 with a target of 1836.74 – 1782.50.
Alternative scenario: breakdown and consolidation above the level of 1937.93 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 1973.80 – 2022.28.
Analysis: on the daily chart, a downside correction presumably finished developing as the fourth wave of larger degree (4), and the fifth wave (5) is forming. Apparently, the first wave of smaller degree 1 of (5) is formed on the H4 chart, and a local correction is developing as the second wave 2 of (5). Wave c of 2 is forming on the H1 chart, with wave (iii) of c continuing developing as its part. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to the levels of 1836.74 – 1782.50. The level of 1937.93 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1973.80 – 2022.28.
Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode
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